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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Currently Testing 172-125 58% a all sports run that has made my dime players more than $35000.00 in bankroll expanding profits. Includes 39-15 72% CBB run ! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Nov 28, 2022 Steelers vs Colts |
Steelers +3 -120 at BetVegas |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Pittsburgh is being under rated here in this matchup vs the Colts especially with JJ watts in the lineup. His energy permeates through this team and gives them an extra charge. The Steelers are 8-0-1 ATS in the last nine matchups versus AFC South opponents, while the Colts are just 1-6 ATS L/7 vs AFC North opponents. The Steelers are 16-2 SU L/18 in this series, including 2-0 SUATS as a pup. I know the Colts have played better of late, but this team is still in disarray and fade material in my humble betting opinion. Pittsburgh 8-1 ATS L/ 9 MNF vs division opposition Play Pittsburgh to cover . |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Nov 28, 2022 Golden Knights vs Blue Jackets |
UNDER 6½ +105 |
Won $105 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Golden Knights looked lethargic at times in Friday's 4-2 loss to Seattle, then fell behind 5-0 after two periods of an eventual 5-1 loss and now Im betting they pickup their defensive work here tonight and pay more attention in transition. Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets last played this past Friday at home when they were flipped in 3-2 by the New York Islanders. Im betting after an ugly start to their campaign, that a new focus on playing responsible Defensive hockey will continue. VEGAS is 7-1 UNDER after a division game this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Nov 28, 2022 Bulls vs Jazz |
Jazz -1½ -110 at linepros |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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After a fast start to their season Utah has really cooled off but this is a good matchup for them here at home vs a Chicago Bulls side that has been highly inconsistent this season. The Jazz are off a heart breaking loss to the Suns on the road but proved their the really deal and here in the friendly confines of Vivint Arena where they are 6-2 SU have na edge. Jazz are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CHICAGO is 20-34 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 35-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Nov 28, 2022 Pittsburgh vs Northwestern |
OVER 127½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Capel III is 24-14 OVER off a home win as the coach of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 138.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 22-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134.3 ppg scored. teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 130 points going on the board. Play OVER |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Nov 29, 2022 Avalanche vs Jets |
Avalanche -126 at circa |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Jets' took a 4-3 overtime win at Colorado on Oct. 19 and now the defending Stanley Cup champs have revenge on board and will primed for redemption. Tonight Im betting the Colorado's top tier goalie Alexander Georgiev who has stopped 95 of the 98 shots during a current three-game winning streak will be the difference maker. Avalanche are 8-0 in their last 8 Tuesday games.Avalanche are 14-2 in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.Avalanche are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. Central. COLORADO is 21-4 ATS after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons. Jets are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Home teams against the money line (WINNIPEG) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored are 14-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado Avs to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Nov 29, 2022 Warriors vs Mavs |
Mavs +2 -110 at linepros |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Since they last met in June, the Mavericks have had this rematch circled on their calendars. I know the Mavericks are currently not playing at the same level as the Warriors , but Im betting with revenge on their minds and redemption as a goal , here on their own home floor they deserve respect having won 8 of 11 tilts this season . It must also be noted that the Warriors despite of their strong play have had problems on the road and have only garnered wins in their L/11 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 24-38 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas. Play on Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Nov 29, 2022 UC-Santa Barbara vs Duquesne |
UC-Santa Barbara +2 -110 at linepros |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155/ATS (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 32-5 SU/ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UC Santa Barbara to cover |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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