*3 Star Play Over* The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs square off in Kansas City on Sunday night. This is the time of the year that you always want to be careful about the weather, but the current forecast for this one is for a temperature in the 30's with winds of about 10 mph. 

The Buffalo Bills offense sputtered at times throughout the regular season, but they did have a bunch of success against the Chiefs earlier in the year. Josh Allen is playing well of late, and the Bills have too many weapons on the outside for the Chiefs secondary to contain. 

Kansas City's offense has improved late in the season. It's still very hard to stop Mahomes with Kelce, Hill, and the rest of their weapons. 

The last couple meetings between these two have gone over the total. I think we see a back and forth affair here. There is absolutely a chance for overtime in this one as well. 

The defenses are improved, but the offenses are still better.

Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Marquette Golden Eagles played Xavier earlier this year and the game was played to a blazing fast pace of 76 possessions. That game finished at 151 points total despite poor shooting from the floor. Shot Quality believes with average shooting from both teams it would have been about 160 points total.

Xavier ranks 35th quickest in average possession length in the country. Marquette is 7th quickest. 

Both of these teams have faced a lot of very tough defenses on their schedule and that has held their offensive numbers down a bit. Both teams are capable of putting up a big number at any time.

These two teams do a good job taking care of the basketball. They also are above average from the line.

Take the over here. 

*3 Star Play on St. Peter's* The St. Peter's Peacocks are likely the second or third best team in the MAAC. St. Peter's lost both games to Canisius a year ago. According to Shot Quality, St. Peter's should have won both of those games based on the quality of shots taken and their average shooting numbers. 

Canisius is definitely weaker than they were a year ago. St. Peter's beat Canisius by eight a couple games ago at home. That was despite the fact that St. Peter's star player KC Ndefo was 2/13 from the floor in that game. That isn't likely to be replicated here. 

St. Peter's is the top defense in the MAAC and defense usually travels. The MAAC has been the single best conference for road teams ATS in the last decade. 

Canisius trailed by 4 against lowly Rider with a minute left on Friday night. They escaped with a one point win in that game. I don't think they'll be as fortunate in this one.

Take St. Peter's. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Boston Celtics have played at the second slowest tempo in the NBA in the last 10 games. Boston has seen 13 of its last 17 games stay under this total in regulation. They have played some low scoring finals even in overtime. Boston is playing strong defense. They rank 7th in defensive efficiency in the last ten games.

Boston lists Marcus Smart as probable for this game. Smart is a great defender and often when coming back from a long break players can struggle offensively. 

Washington is the higher scoring team of these two, but the Wizards have had several contests with very high scoring and fast paced teams of late. That has skewed this total higher. Here, they are up against a different opponent who prefers the halfcourt and lower scoring game.

Sunday early game unders have been great especially in conference games in the last decade.

Take the under.