ASA play on: OVER 228.5 LA Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets, 9PM ET Scoring is up in the Bubble games with 8 teams currently averaging over 120PPG in the restart. Prior to the interruption, no team was averaging 120 or more points with the Bucks as the highest scoring average at 118PPG. The Nuggets are scoring an average of 121.3PPG in the Bubble while the Clippers are averaging 118.3PPG. Denver has the second most efficient offense in the Bubble games at 1.204 points per possession while the Clippers are 5th at 1.180PPP. The games that the Clippers have been involved in so far in the restart have all ended with 228 or more points except for the first game against the Lakers when both teams were still rusty. Not only has Denver been scoring in the restart, but they’ve been allowing points too. The Nuggets have given up 124 or more points in four straight games and 5 of the six in the Bubble. These two teams are two of the deepest in the NBA right now which means when they go to the bench there shouldn’t be much drop off in terms of scoring. Just ask the Lakers how good the Nuggets reserves are who almost beat the Lakers starters the other night. This line on this game is barely higher than the league average of 222PPG which was the average before the restart. Easy call on the OVER!

ASA top play 10* on: Houston Rockets -8 over Indiana Pacers, 4PM ET You know the old saying, “when something looks to good to be true, it isn’t”. That’s the case with this line on the Rockets vs. Pacers game as the line is much higher than it should be and is attracting public money on Indiana. In true contrarian fashion we will bet opposite and play on the Rockets. We feel the Rockets desperately want to hold on to the 4 or 5 seed and avoid the two Los Angeles teams and the red-hot Nuggets in the first round. A win here essentially locks up the 4/5 seed for Houston. The Rockets played yesterday and were embarrassed by the Spurs with James Harden on the bench. The NBA’s leading scorer is expected to suit up today for the Rockets and can literally carry this team like he’s done so often in the past. The Pacers have several starters listed as doubtful today with Turner, Oladipo, Brogdon questionable and TJ Warren listed as out. That tells us the Pacers aren’t as interested in this game as they are Friday’s against the Miami Heat who they will likely face in the first round of the Playoffs. The Rockets hold slight advantages in both offensive and defensive efficiency numbers in the Bubble games and will squeak out a double-digit win here.

ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Cleveland Indians Money Line (-) vs Chicago Cubs, Wednesday at 6:10 PM ET

Look for the Indians to bounce right back from yesterday's 7-1 home loss.  The Cubs start Kyle Hendricks here and his road struggles have continued.  Last season he was great at Wrigley Field but went 5-8 with a 5.02 ERA away from home.  Opponents hit .290 against Hendricks when he was on the road.  This season he has made 3 starts and the home outings went fine but his road outing saw him allow 6 earned runs in just 4 and 1 / 3 innings.  The Indians had won 5 of 6 games prior to yesterday's loss and Cleveland has averaged scoring 8.3 runs per game in their last 3 victories.  The offense is showing some life and their bullpen has been among the best in the majors early this season.  Additionally they hand the ball to a starter in great current form for this one.  Carlos Carrasco gets the call here and the same Reds team that just clobbered Hendricks when they faced him was absolutely handcuffed by Carrasco.  He held them to 1 hit in 6 innings while striking out 8.  Carrasco dealt with injury issues last season but he has put all that behind him and looks like the same pitcher that went 46-24 with a 3.32 ERA from 2016 to 2018.  The Cubs are off to a great start this season but have been fortunate with a home-heavy schedule.  Chicago is known for being much better at home than on the road.  The Cubs entered last night's contest at Cleveland having gone 1-2 in their 3 most recent road games and Chicago was outscored 25-9 in those 2 losses.  The Indians respond after last night's loss and their pitching edge and home field edge lead the way in this one.  Indians were 17 games over .500 at home last season while the Cubs were 15 games under .500 in road games last season.  Per our computer math model, this situation is offering tremendous line value considering all of the above factors.  The forecast here is a home rout.  Bet the Cleveland Indians on the money line for a TOP PLAY in early evening action Wednesday.

ASA TOP PLAY 10* on New York Islanders Money Line (+) over Washington Capitals, Wednesday at 3:00 PM ET

We'll take the teacher over the pupil in this one.  The Islanders are coached by Barry Trotz.  He led the Capitals to the Stanley Cup Championship two years ago.  Then that summer Washington wouldn't give him the contract he wanted (and, arguably) had earned via leading the Caps to win it all!  Trotz ended up with the Islanders and his assistant, Todd Rierden, is now the Capitals coach.  The Islanders are off a fantastic effort against the Panthers in which they dominated Florida throughout much of the series which lasted only 4 games.  New York plays a defensive style that stifles and frustrates opponents and that will be the key again here.  The Capitals were not very impressive in their level of play in the round robin that preceded this series for them.  Trotz certainly knows many of the Washington players and their tendencies very well and he is a very good coach.  Additionally, the Islanders have won 6 of the last 8 playoff series between these teams but lost the most recent one between these teams in 2015.  Per our computer math model, payback begins here with a Game One upset win for the underdog in this one.  ASA PLAY New York Islanders on the money line in afternoon action Wednesday.