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Alex Smart Alex Smart
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Alex Smart Sports- NBA Super Star Three Pack -2 Sides/1 Total

I have isolated THREE viable investment options from Thursdays NBA rotational schedule. Features: Orlando Magic vs Chicago Bulls- Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers - Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder. Tests 63% L/95 overall NBA run including a 65% L/26 side run and 74% L/29 Totals conversion rate!

*This package includes Array Picks (2 NBA Spread, 1 NBA Total)

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NHL SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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**2014 NBA Champion!**
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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 13, 2021
Thunder vs Jazz
UNDER 222 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My own projections estimate a total that should be closer to 218. Thus giving us value with an under wager. We have a full possession plus to work with this spot play. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-20 UNDER (+10.0 Units) when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (UTAH) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against a struggling team ( 7 PPG or less differential), after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 26-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (+7  or more PPG diff.) against a struggling  team (- 7 or less  PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 23-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 13, 2021
Lakers vs Hornets
Lakers
+2 -109 at Draft Kings
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Lakers despite of being without their two top players James and Davis have shown themselves to be a difficult team to face, thanks to a very strong defence that ranks 2nd in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive efficiency. Its their conditioning that makes them dangerous because they run constantly in transition. Note:LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. I know the Lakers played yesterday and lost, but they are Lakers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and  are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and also 4-0 ATS off an SU loss and also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. 

Lakers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest.

 Charlotte also boasts a strong defensive presence but the Lakers rank higher , and in this type of head to head matchup have an edge according to my projections. 

Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the Lakers to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 13, 2021
Rangers vs Rays
Rays
-166 at linepros
Lost
$166.0
Play Type: Premium

Over the past three years, Yarbrough has led the Rays in innings (344 2/3) despite making only 29 starts during that span and being introduced as a bulk-innings pitcher in 2018 and must not be underestimated in his ability to long here vs a struggling Texas offence. Since his debut in 2018, no pitcher with at least 300 innings has recorded a lower average exit velocity than Yarbrough’s 84.6 mph mark, according to Statcast. Yarbourgh gets my support. 

MLB  Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 2-37 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. 

Play on the Rays to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 13, 2021
Clippers vs Pacers
UNDER 232 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The Clippers rank 28th in pace in the NBA and own the 6th best ppg defense and 2nd ranked defensive rating and have allowed an average of 107 ppg on the road. Im betting the Clippers do what they do best and control the pace of this tilt and defensively own a side that is going to be in a regression mode tonight after taking part in a 132-125 uptempo affair last time out.  This Im betting directly effects the the total combined score to the under here.   INDIANA is 18-4 UNDER  after scoring 130 points or more  with an average of 201.4 ppg scored.

 LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 218.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team ( 36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making  50% or better  of their shots are 28-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 32-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off a road win are 43-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 13, 2021
Rangers vs Devils
Rangers
-169 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

After gutting their team base of veteran players over the last couple of seasons, the Devils are a very young inexperienced side with little to no momentum and have lost 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, the Rangers have shown a little life, and have won 8 of their L/14 and according to my power rankings have an edge. 

Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a favorite. Rangers are 60-29 in their last 89 games as a road favorite.Devils are 14-37 in their last 51 games as a home underdog.

Road team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

NEW JERSEY is 0-10  against the money line in home games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season.NEW JERSEY is 4-18  against the money line in home games this season.

Play on NY Rangers to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 13, 2021
Thunder vs Jazz
Thunder
+17 -110 at Draft Kings
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

We have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum at the moment going head to head here this evening. The Jazz remain one of the leagues top teams, while the Thunder look to be in tank mode. But Im betting on the Jazz overlooking their downtrodden opponent, while I expect the Thunder to be motivated to play a top tier side, with a nothing to lose attitude. From a linesmakers perspective this is not an outlandish line considering the matchup, but  the NBA is not a cut dry type of league when it comes to deciphering equilibriums , and with that said Ill take a contrarian view and recommend we plug our noses and  take the points. 

Oklahoma City is 4-0 SU L/4 visits to Utah. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-7 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling  team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 227-154 ATS L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 178-115 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61`% conversion rate.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 14, 2021
Reds vs Giants
Giants
+102 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium
Johnny CuetoRHP1-0, 2.51 ERA, 14 SOCueto delivered a gem in the Giants' 2021 home opener, working 8 2/3 innings of one-run ball against the Rockies on Friday. He spent the first eight years of his career in Cincinnati, earning his first career All-Star nod in 2014. He will be motivated here against his old team to continue his current momentum. Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. CUETO is 16-4  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)


CINCINNATI is 22-39 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.

 MLB team (CINCINNATI) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 14-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Giants to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 14, 2021
Angels vs Royals
Royals
+110 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

Brad   Keller will look to turn things around against the Angels after two short starts to open the season. He allowed four runs on six hits in 3 1/3 innings last week against the White Sox, with three walks and three strikeouts.  The righty likes pitching here at home and deserves respect on a value line .  KELLER is 6-0   against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KANSAS CITY is 21-9 (against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. 

Royals are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.

Angels are 18-40 in their last 58 road games.

Angels are 8-21 in their last 29 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Royals to win 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.