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Freddy Wills |
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• Basketball Top Plays (+648) 22-14 L36 61% • All Sports Top Plays (+533) 22-15 L37 59% • NCAA-B Plays (+459) 10-5 L15 67% |
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| Last 7 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| ATS Picks | +372.0 units | +24.6% | 67% | 8-4 |
| Overall Picks | +339.0 units | +19.2% | 64% | 9-5 |
| Last 30 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Top Play Picks | +316.0 units | +7.1% | 56% | 22-17 |
| Last 60 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Top Play Picks | +807.0 units | +7.7% | 57% | 52-40 |
| ATS Picks | +644.0 units | +3.9% | 54% | 80-68 |
| Overall Picks | +284.0 units | +1.5% | 53% | 90-80 |
| O/U Picks | +75.0 units | +7.6% | 56% | 5-4 |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | Starts |
| NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 South Florida vs. Syracuse |
South Florida +14-110 at BETUS |
in 2h |
| S. Florida +14.5 1.1* Free Play South Florida still fighting for their lives for a NCAA tourney bid despite being 10-4 in conference play. For them it’s all about defense and I think they match up extremely well vs. Syracuse another team that will play defense. To me this is all about South Florida needing the game more and Syracuse looking down the road to their biggest rival in the conference in Connecticut on Saturday. South Florida’s defense is the real deal holding opponents on the road to under 40%. It’s not like Syracuse is that great offensively and I see South Florida being able to turn this into a half court game which will keep them in striking distance. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2012 Kentucky vs. Mississippi State |
Mississippi State +9-104 at 5DIMES |
Tie |
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Seton Hall +2.5 (3.3* Play) Seton Hall really needs a win to have a key win to help their NCAA tournament chances. They’re 12-2 at home only losing to Louisville and Notre Dame and with Depaul and Rutgers to close out the regular season they could get to 21 wins with a victory tonight. It’s a tough task especially against Georgetown’s defense that’s 9th in the country, but they have done most of that damage at home 35.5% compared to the road 41.8%. Don’t sleep on Seton Hall either they allow just 39.4% at home and are #2 in the Big East in 3 point defense. They have beaten VCU, CT, West Virginia , St Johns and Pitt at home and this game will be by far the most impressive. It’s possible with Georgetown recently losing at Pittsburgh, who has been down this year. The key in my mind is how effective SR PG Jordan Theodore can be tonight. He knows his time is running out as a Sr and I think he has something special in this one as he tries to get to the NCAA tourney for the first time in his career. Miss State +9 (4.4* POD); Miss St +373 (1* play if Sidney plays!) I love Miss State tonight especially if Renardo Sidney (back spasms plays). Miss State again has the ingredients with a presence in the paint and outside and they’ll need this one if they want to improve their chances for the NCAA tournament which have slipped with three straight losses. It was obvious they were looking ahead to this game as they lost at Auburn over the weekend. I love Arnett Moultrie’s chance at getting Anthony Davis in some foul trouble here and that could be a significant edge considering Kentucky is not one of the deepest teams in the conference. Miss State also has the outside shooters between Sr. Dee Bost, Rodney Hood and Jalen Steele who combined attempts 15.3 three pointers per game. If you are going to beat Kentucky you have to knock these down and play defense. Again this is too many points and I see Miss State staying in this game late. I give them a chance to win if they have Renardo Sidney playing and I expect him to play despite being questionable as Miss State needs this game.. |
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NCAA-B | Feb 21, 2012 Georgetown vs. Seton Hall |
Seton Hall +2½-110 at SIA |
Won $100 |
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Seton Hall +2.5 (3.3* Play) Seton Hall really needs a win to have a key win to help their NCAA tournament chances. They’re 12-2 at home only losing to Louisville and Notre Dame and with Depaul and Rutgers to close out the regular season they could get to 21 wins with a victory tonight. It’s a tough task especially against Georgetown’s defense that’s 9th in the country, but they have done most of that damage at home 35.5% compared to the road 41.8%. Don’t sleep on Seton Hall either they allow just 39.4% at home and are #2 in the Big East in 3 point defense. They have beaten VCU, CT, West Virginia , St Johns and Pitt at home and this game will be by far the most impressive. It’s possible with Georgetown recently losing at Pittsburgh, who has been down this year. The key in my mind is how effective SR PG Jordan Theodore can be tonight. He knows his time is running out as a Sr and I think he has something special in this one as he tries to get to the NCAA tourney for the first time in his career. Miss State +9 (4.4* POD); Miss St +373 (1* play if Sidney plays!) I love Miss State tonight especially if Renardo Sidney (back spasms plays). Miss State again has the ingredients with a presence in the paint and outside and they’ll need this one if they want to improve their chances for the NCAA tournament which have slipped with three straight losses. It was obvious they were looking ahead to this game as they lost at Auburn over the weekend. I love Arnett Moultrie’s chance at getting Anthony Davis in some foul trouble here and that could be a significant edge considering Kentucky is not one of the deepest teams in the conference. Miss State also has the outside shooters between Sr. Dee Bost, Rodney Hood and Jalen Steele who combined attempts 15.3 three pointers per game. If you are going to beat Kentucky you have to knock these down and play defense. Again this is too many points and I see Miss State staying in this game late. I give them a chance to win if they have Renardo Sidney playing and I expect him to play despite being questionable as Miss State needs this game.. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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| I have been wagering on sports for eight years now. I am a former division II athlete with an undergrad in Sports Management and Masters in Business Administration. This is my real job, I claim it on my tax return. In January of 2009 I started Sports Bet Capping I use a betting philosophy that is backed by betting on an underdog that has a legitimate shot at winning the game outright. Although this varies from sport to sport. I never force plays and always give you a written analysis. All of my plays must meet a certain number of requirements before I considers them as a release. This includes my free pick releases. I use a variety of factors in my betting philosophy, such as statistical software, trend analysis, public betting %'s and other emotional advantages. This is the same strategy I used to win 64% of my College Football games in 2008. Some of you may know me as fritz218 on Covers where this record was clearly documented in the forums. Lastly, you must know that I bet on all of the games I recommend. When you lose I lose, something I do not take lightly. I am as competitive and determined as anyone you will meet which is why I have found success in this industry. |
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